UPDATED: 11-04-25 19:23 PDT

cfp We Michigan 1
  
We Michigan           
W-L: ( 5- 4) PR = 67.2879

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 829 A Michigan St B10 ( 3- 6, 67.7) 6-23 906 H No Texas AME ( 8- 1, 77.3) 30-33 913 A Illinois B10 ( 6- 3, 83.6) 0-38 920 H Toledo MIDA ( 4- 4, 69.3) 14-13 927 H Rhode Island 47-14 1004 A UMass IND ( 0- 8, 45.9) 21- 3 1011 H Ball St MIDA ( 3- 5, 61.3) 42- 0 1025 A MiamiOH MIDA ( 5- 3, 66.2) 17-26 1101 H Cen Michigan MIDA ( 5- 4, 68.2) 24-21 1111 H Ohio MIDA ( 5- 3, 70.8) 1118 A No Illinois MIDA ( 2- 6, 62.0) 1125 A Ea Michigan MIDA ( 2- 7, 60.4)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   829 A Michigan St             6-23     -17    -4    ---  -12.64
   906 H No Texas               30-33      -3    -6    +      3.08
   913 A Illinois                0-38     -38   -20           0.00
   920 H Toledo                 14-13       1     2          -0.89
  1004 A UMass                  21- 3      18    17           0.55
  1011 H Ball St                42- 0      42    10    +++   10.10
  1025 A MiamiOH                17-26      -9    -3    ---   -6.20
  1101 H Cen Michigan           24-21       3     3          -0.01

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   829 A Michigan St             6-23     -17    -4    ---  -12.64
  1025 A MiamiOH                17-26      -9    -3    ---   -6.20

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
  1011 H Ball St                42- 0      42    10    +++   10.10
   906 H No Texas               30-33      -3    -6    +      3.08

We Michigan Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Boston Col ` We Michigan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) We Michigan
California We Michigan   We Michigan
Clemson Clemson   Clemson
Duke Duke tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Duke
Florida St Florida St   Florida St
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech   Georgia Tech
Louisville Louisville   Louisville
Miami Miami   Miami
UNC UNC   UNC
NC St NC St   NC St
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Pittsburgh
SMU SMU   SMU
Stanford Stanford   Stanford
Syracuse Syracuse   Syracuse
Virginia Virginia   Virginia
Va Tech We Michigan   We Michigan
Wake Forest Wake Forest   Wake Forest
Army Army tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Army
Charlotte We Michigan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) We Michigan
Ea Carolina Ea Carolina   Ea Carolina
Fla Atlantic We Michigan   We Michigan
Memphis Memphis   Memphis
Navy Navy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Navy
No Texas No Texas No Texas  
Rice We Michigan   We Michigan
So Florida So Florida insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) So Florida
Temple We Michigan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) We Michigan
Tulane Tulane   Tulane
Tulsa We Michigan   We Michigan
UAB We Michigan   We Michigan
UTSA UTSA tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) UTSA
Arizona Arizona   Arizona
Arizona St Arizona St   Arizona St
BYU BYU   BYU
Baylor Baylor   Baylor
Cincinnati Cincinnati   Cincinnati
Colorado Colorado   Colorado
Houston Houston   Houston
Iowa St Iowa St   Iowa St
Kansas Kansas   Kansas
Kansas St Kansas St   Kansas St
Oklahoma St We Michigan   We Michigan
TCU TCU   TCU
Texas Tech Texas Tech   Texas Tech
UCF We Michigan   We Michigan
Utah Utah   Utah
We Virginia We Virginia   We Virginia
Illinois Illinois Illinois  
Indiana Indiana Indiana   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Iowa Iowa tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Iowa
Maryland Maryland   Maryland
Michigan Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Michigan
Michigan St Michigan St Michigan St  
Minnesota Minnesota insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Minnesota
Nebraska Nebraska insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Nebraska
Northwestern Northwestern   Northwestern
Ohio St Ohio St insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ohio St
Oregon Oregon   Oregon
Penn St Penn St   Penn St
Purdue Purdue tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Purdue
Rutgers Rutgers insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Rutgers
UCLA UCLA insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) UCLA
USC USC insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) USC
Washington Washington insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Washington
Wisconsin Wisconsin insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wisconsin
Florida Intl We Michigan   We Michigan
Jacksonv. St We Michigan   We Michigan
Kennesaw St Kennesaw St   Kennesaw St
Liberty We Michigan   We Michigan
La Tech La Tech   La Tech
Middle Tenn We Michigan   We Michigan
NM St We Michigan   We Michigan
SHouston St We Michigan   We Michigan
UTEP We Michigan   We Michigan
We Kentucky We Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) We Michigan
UMass We Michigan We Michigan  
Notre Dame Notre Dame   Notre Dame
UConn UConn tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) UConn
Akron We Michigan We Michigan   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Ball St We Michigan We Michigan  
Bowl. Green We Michigan insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) We Michigan
Buffalo We Michigan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) We Michigan
Cen Michigan We Michigan We Michigan  
Ea Michigan We Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) We Michigan
Kent State We Michigan insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) We Michigan
MiamiOH MiamiOH MiamiOH  
No Illinois We Michigan tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) We Michigan
Ohio Ohio insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ohio
Toledo We Michigan We Michigan  
Air Force We Michigan   We Michigan
Boise State Boise State   Boise State
Colorado St We Michigan   We Michigan
Fresno St Fresno St   Fresno St
Hawaii Hawaii   Hawaii
Nevada We Michigan   We Michigan
New Mexico New Mexico   New Mexico
San Diego St San Diego St   San Diego St
San Jose St San Jose St insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) San Jose St
UNLV We Michigan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) We Michigan
Utah St Utah St   Utah St
Wyoming Wyoming   Wyoming
Oregon St We Michigan   We Michigan
Wash St Wash St tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Wash St
Alabama Alabama   Alabama
Arkansas Arkansas   Arkansas
Auburn Auburn tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Auburn
Florida Florida   Florida
Georgia Georgia   Georgia
Kentucky Kentucky tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Kentucky
LSU LSU   LSU
Missouri Missouri tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Missouri
Miss St Miss St   Miss St
Oklahoma Oklahoma   Oklahoma
Ole Miss Ole Miss   Ole Miss
So Carolina So Carolina   So Carolina
Tennessee Tennessee   Tennessee
Texas Texas   Texas
Texas A&M Texas A&M   Texas A&M
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt   Vanderbilt
App St We Michigan   We Michigan
Arkansas State We Michigan   We Michigan
Coastal Car Coastal Car   Coastal Car
Georgia So We Michigan   We Michigan
Georgia St We Michigan   We Michigan
J Madison J Madison   J Madison
Louisiana We Michigan   We Michigan
Marshall Marshall   Marshall
Old Dominion Old Dominion   Old Dominion
So Miss So Miss   So Miss
So Alabama We Michigan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) We Michigan
Texas State Texas State   Texas State
Troy Troy   Troy
La-Monroe We Michigan   We Michigan

PowerWise = 41


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 8.46

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Michigan St     ( 3- 6, 67.7)     6-23      -32.19      21.80       3.93         1.06           -14.94
   0 H No Texas        ( 8- 1, 77.3)    30-33      -22.61      31.38      -3.93         1.06           -14.04
   0 A Illinois        ( 6- 3, 83.6)     0-38      -16.32      37.67       3.93         1.06            -6.56
   0 H Toledo          ( 4- 4, 69.3)    14-13      -30.57      23.42      -3.93         1.06            41.23
   0 A UMass           ( 0- 8, 45.9)    21- 3      -53.99       1.00       3.93         1.06            10.43
   0 H Ball St         ( 3- 5, 61.3)    42- 0      -38.58      15.41      -3.93         1.06            24.29
   0 A MiamiOH         ( 5- 3, 66.2)    17-26      -33.74      20.25       3.93         1.06           -15.77
   0 H Cen Michigan    ( 5- 4, 68.2)    24-21      -31.69      22.30      -3.93         1.06            38.87
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        63.52

winning pts = 114.8248 losing points = -51.3010

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------